Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (2024)

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (2)

6/14 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections

We start out today's return to The BIg A showing a flat bet profit for this meet, after having done the same for the last Aqueduct stand.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 1 - #2 Striking Speed

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (3)Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

Race 11st -Mount Travers2nd - First Deputy3rd -Ribbons and Medals

#3 MOUNT TRAVERS has been camera shy for nearly two full calendars, but 8 year old still has a penchant for earning some checks, and totes the lightest impost in this, his 55th call to the post. Slight edge in an opener with no first draft eliminations. #5 FIRST DEPUTY ( uncoupled barnmate with the above ) didn't appear to show a heck of a lot in his first start of the claim, but you can feel free to upgrade that number by approximately 10.7%, as he is that much better on a fast track then one with moisture in it. Ridgling has done his best work in Ozone Park, and can make amends. #4 RIBBONS AND MEDALS has been freshened up since last seen, and although 5/2 appears a bit short on this one, we'll include because of the early zip. BEATABLE FAVORITE: #2 STRIKING SPEED fills the bill, as Dutrow is oh for 17 with dirt stock off breaks of 46 to 50 days

Race 21st -Lil Breezzy2nd -Double Cappuccino3rd -Bossy Dish

#10 LIL BREEZZY gets her working papers this afternoon, and aside from drawing well, gal totes a hefty Tomlinson figure of 389 for today's distance. This one is a half to a present day 4 for 13 dirt runner who won down in Texas last week & from a DRF Formulator point of view, 'Miah is on a 5-8 run with first time starting fillies on this circuit and at this level, who are NOT receiving Lasix ( 13 to 1 or less ). The winners returned $14, $10, $8, $3, and $4, and we'll make this one a tepid selection. #1 DOUBLE CAPPUCINO is another one beginning her working life today, and does such with a crisp gate move showing from last Friday. 2YO went for nearly six times the $50,000 stud fee at auction, and could be any kind. #5 BOSSY DISH has a nicely tucked away workout from May 3rd, and could spice things up beneath.

Race 31st -Copernicus2nd -Dakota Country3rd -Koru

#9 COPERNICUS didn't show a whole heck of a lot when starting things out down in Hallandale Beach three months ago, but had some trouble at the onset that day, and now has blinkers added in hopes of giving this one a bit more early zip to stay out of trouble. Eligible to improve given the outfit. #3 DAKOTA COUNTRY moved forward in a big way when going over the blades for the first time, closing out the superfecta at 9-1 right here, and the lone returnee from that day was a snappy winner for Sackatoga Stables on closing day at Saratoga last week, while posting a solid Figaro in the process. #1 KORU was a bit awkward in the most recent, but still completed the Exacta when facing similar that afternoon. Draws the inside, and can sit a decent trip. OFF TURF: 9-4-1-11-10

Race 41st -Two for Charging 2nd -Giants Fire 3rd -Sin Nombre

#4 TWO FOR CHARGING hasn't been seen since last fall, but has received the unkindest cut of all since last in action, and is now made available for purchase for the first time. That last part is of some relevance, as Abreu is a tight 4 fer 6 when putting a "For Sale" sticker on his mid level dirt stock off breaks of 37 days or more, with payouts of $13, $5, and $6 x 2. Take a looksee during the warmups. #3 GIANT'S FIRE was a lively runner-up finisher the only time he was put up for grabs, and note that the sole victory came right here. #5 SIN NOMBRE has been freshened up a bit, and completed the tri in his only deal off a break in the action.

Race 51st -Mauritius2nd -King Freud3rd -Noble Huntsman

#5 MAURITIUS has hit the board in all five starts when going over firm ground, and that includes a solid showing at 6-1 down in the bayou. Deserving favorite, but by no means a cinch in a heat that we don't have the best of reads on. #9 KING FREUD has improved over each and every turf try, so right off the bat who knows where his ceiling is in that regards. We'll nibble at 8-1 to find out. #8 NOBLE HUNTSMAN showed a bit of improvement the only time he had blinkers added, and is as good as any for the show dough. OFF TURF: 12(AE)-1-2-13(AE)-14(MTO)

Race 61st -Being Betty2nd -Solo Shot3rd -War Terminatrix

#4 BEING BETTY didn't show much in the return engagement, but likely needed that after the lengthy sabbatical. Barn is without a loss this meet, and they've done better with this pilot, then without. Mild choice. #5 SOLO SHOT has outran her parimutual offering quite nicely in both sod starts to date, and gets a big time upgrade in the irons today. #7 WAR TERMINATRIX is a maiden facing winners here, but you can sometimes get inflated value on runners is like that, and we see that she was vastly improved when going over the green stuff for the first time. OFF TURF: 8-6-3-5-4

Race 71st -He Has It All2nd -Boom Boom Thunder3rd -Ahvee's Mission

#9 HE HAS IT ALL took a big leap forward in his second start over a glib surface, when finishing a well clear runner up in a near identical placement. There's a solid trainer stat in play with this on, as barn is a whopping 7 of 9 w/ mdspwt sand stock ( getting "The Big L" ) who were 1-2-3 27-43 days in the past, and the ROI for that study is nearly $7. Threat to go all the way here. #3 BOOM BOOM THUNDER just may be the only threat to the above, given the solid Tommy for today's second start on a track labeled FST. #8 AHVEE'S MISSION has put together quite a decent worktab for today's overture, and we like the confidence shown shipping this one down from Finger Lakes when they were obviously some easier opportunities up there. NOTE: AS OF 11:47, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #7 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Race 81st -Kannon Fire2nd -Silent Melody3rd -La Vita Sophia

#7 KANNON FIRE only bested half the field when returning off a lengthy break, but likely needed that effort, and lightly raised five yr. old could move forward today. with that under her girthstrap. #6 SILENT MELODY has been pretty consistent thus far, and by no means disgraced herself when facing winners for the first time last month. That's never an easy spot, and we'll toss her into the mix today. #3 LA VITA SOPHIA rounds out the top three. OFF TURF: 5-3-4-1-2

Race 91st -Bunny Honey2nd -Miss City Girl3rd -Laurana

#12 BUNNY HONEY has undergone a positive trainer switch for her local debut, and from a limited sampling, Papa Engelhart is 2 for 5 with turf routers or absences of less than 52 days, beneath the 6-1 watermark. Meek selection. #4 MISS CITY GIRL didn't do much to get the heart thumping when taking her first afternoon trek to the front side back in November, but has been given ample time to fill out and sort things out since then, and returns with Flavor Flav in the irons, as well as now getting the miracle drug. #9 LAURANA encountered some trouble in the 2024 bow, but secures Joel for today's second off the bench deal, and we wouldn't be shocked to see some improvement. OFF TURF: 3-1-12-15(MTO)-7

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 41-148 ( $297 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-5 ( 40% ) Favorite's Win %: 59-148 ( 39.9% )

Saratoga Spring ( Final ): 7-47 ( $31.20 ) Beatable Favorites: N/A Favorite's Win %: 19-47 ( 40.4% )

Aqueduct Spring( Final ): 28-136 ( $278.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 1-10 ( 10% ) Favorite's Win %: 57-136 ( 41.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7684-20491( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4195-20955 ( $35,442.60 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7827-21077( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.4% against a 16.7% takeout

6/15 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): ( Odds not posted as of 1:34 P.M. Thursday )

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (4)Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

Race 11st -Sorority Prank2nd -Tinebar3rd -Iron Man Ira

#2 SORORITY PRANK appears to have gotten his confidence back after being dropped in for a tag back in March. Gelding placed that day, and then closed out the triple in both starts afterwards after being hiked up to this level by the new connections. Makes all kinds of sense, and should be no worse than third for all of you show grinders out there. #3 TINEBAR has some nice bloodlines for today's debut, totes along a hefty Tomlinson figure of 381, and is displaying a crisp bullet from up at Oklahoma 5 days ago. Could be any kind. #6 IRON MAN IRA has improved over each passing start, and most definitely should be left in the mix given the solid placings of late.

Race 21st -Dark Devil2nd -Remember the Chief3rd -Guile

#5 DARK DEVIL showed some nice improvement in his first start to the followup, and now drops a handful of pegs while catching a glib surface for the second time. Sensible selection. #1 REMEMBER THE CHIEF has undergone a barn change since besting only one a bit over a month ago, and the first thing Carlito does is have blinkers affixed in an effort to give this one some more early speed. $10,000 auction purchase seems properly spotted entered for a tag for the first time, and deserves a chance to make amends with a switch to Franco. You can feel free to throw an upward shower alongside the speed figures of #3 GUILE. Three year old seems to be figuring it out as he goes along, and is now protected against the claim while receiving the wonder drug for the first time.

Race 31st -Next On Stage2nd -Highway Harmony3rd -Soca

#3 NEXT ON STAGE appears to be the clear speed of this deal, and although she goes over the turf for the first time today, we see that her second best Beyer was on the poly, which often translates to the green stuff. Recognize that the only second off the layoff attempt yielded a going away wire to wire win on the main, and is a threat to do the same once again today. #6 HIGHWAY HARMONY outran her odds quite nicely when completing the triple in her initial turf route three weeks back, and surprisingly has been put up for sale today off of that effort. You'd have to think all systems are go, as this gal may end up in another barn after the race. #4 SOCA has been beset by back-to-back L/O lines after each of her outings, but scored in one of them, and has some decent pedigree for today's turf bow. OFF TURF: 8-9-4-5-3

Race 41st -Reynolds Channel2nd -Military Road3rd -Time Out

These three and no more for all our rolling action. #3 REYNOLDS CHANNEL positively immolated baccala down in Louisville last month, and appeared to have no palpable excuse for such. The good news though, is Mott wouldn't get Johnny to ride unless he was sure the horse was eligible to rebound. Will lean this way, but try to demand a touch of value. #5 MILITARY ROAD has yet to finish off the board, and goes two turns for the second time. That last part is of some relevance, as his finest performance to date came when doing such two back. 1-2-3 player for sure. #4 TIME OUT has blinks added after an honest enough showing down in Churchill, and uncoupled barnmate with our top selection should be in the thick of things once again.

Race 51st -Voleuse2nd -Athena Beach3rd -Jackson's Dixie

#1 VOLEUSE enters this affair off of back to back career best numeros, and the four of nine local ark stands out against her oh fer nine record otherwise. Mare is but a neck shy of shooting for five straight today, and is supported by a solid DRF Formulator stat. Over the last 60 months, 15% Rudy Rod more than doubles that batting average with his locally based optional sand sprinters who scored 10 to 50 days in the rear at 7-1 or less ( $2.48 ROI ). It's good to see Romero putting up some solid numbers this year. #5 ATHENA BEACH is a win machine, as this lady has gotten her photograph taken in five of seven calls to the post. Not bad for a $1,000 bred animal, heh ? #4 JACKON'S DIXIE is another one with a penchant for picking up the lion's share, and as she won this race last time out, how could we possibly dismiss?

Race 61st -Final Edition2nd -Kick a Buck3rd -Then

#9 FINAL EDITION closed with a flourish to pick up 20% of the pot in his local debut, and while we feel it could be a bit of a misnomer to assume that closing sprinters will appreciate going two turns, the family tree tells us that the transition shouldn't be too difficult. #3 KICK A BUCK ( a line used during the poker game in 'Cool Hand Luke' ) returned off a bit of a freshening to finish an even fourth versus similar type, and can move forward a bit with that comebacker under his girth strap. #4 THEN outperformed his parimutual expectations when completing the triple at 17 -1 on May 19th, and expensive auction purchase could fair even better with an alert onset. OFF TURF: 7-4-1-11(AE)-2

Race 71st -Colloquial2nd -Nudge3rd -My Mitole

#5 COLLOQUIAL gets his working papers this afternoon, and right off the bat we like the fact that he went for 16X the stud fee at Keeneland last year. The work tab is honest enough, and both siblings to race have been victorious on the dirt. From a limited sampling, barn is two of four with those fitting all this exact criteria ( any age ), with the winners paying $22 & $10. #1 NUDGE is another firster with a decent family tree, and isn't facing much for today's lidlifter. #9 MY MITOLE chased throughout when finishing second in his overture, and with the 408 Tommy on display, the sky could be the limit with this one.

Race 81st -Capital Gal2nd -Marco T3rd -Quick Power Nap

#11 CAPITAL GAL was smartly spotted up at Finger Lakes last time out, and ended up with a drawing away win versus slightly weaker. Barn having a nice meet thus far, and as this one has historically been a touch better on the green stuff than the brown, we can see a repeat as being well within reach. #10 MARCO T has yet to miss the board on firm ground, and who are we to rock that boat ? #8 QUICK POWER NAP completed the triple the only time she was in a second off the layoff try on the verde, and could be coming late with any pace to cut into. OFF TURF: 2-5-1-7-13(MTO)

Race 91st -Belouni ( Fr )2nd -Ruse3rd -Paros

#1 BELOUNI (FR) has partaken in the Exacta in 7 of 11 career starts, and draws snugly after the recent placing. Slimmist of margins in a race with no first draft eliminations. #2 RUSE takes the obligatory hike in class after besting A1X foes right here on the 18th of May, and today's helmsman has some solid familiarity with this one. #8 PAROS scored by a country mile in his one second off the bench engagement, and has won in one of his last two turf events, with the blemish having come just before a lengthy layoff. OFF TURF: 8-1-1A(AE)-3-11(AE)

Race 101st -Big Pond2nd -Apple Picker3rd -Shidabhuti

#2 BIG POND disappointed us a bit when finishing a non threatening second in the Vagrancy last out, but she does show a "Z" pattern from that afternoon, as she lost two and a half lengths from the quarter to the half before getting back more than six from that mark to the line. From a trainer stat point of view, Mott is a saucy 7:4-1-1-1 with Queens based graded dirt stock not getting Lasix who hit the board less than 50 days ago at 10-1 or less. The return on investment for that study is $3.48, and there is a subcategory of two for two when Junior is a board. One more chance. #1 APPLE PICKER has the sort of declining mark that we've grown to love over the years, and owns the type of running style that we like for seven furlongs. Will need to find a seam late. #8 SHIDABHUTI closed out the triple the only time she was in a third off the bench deal, and note that her finest work has come @ today's trip.

Race 111st -Latest Edition2nd -Fancypants Juliana3rd -Kan't Call It

#9 LATEST EDITION returned off an elongated sabbatical to make every call a winning one up in Canandaigua County a week and a half ago, and that could set this lightly raced 5 year old up nicely for today's return to the gramma. Interesting to see Johnny V. stick around until Race 11 for this one. #2 FANCY PANTS JULIANA gave her backers a little bit of a thrill when finishing second at 22 to 1 two fortnights back, and as she has yet to finish out of the superfecta on the lawn, we'd be remiss in excluding. #6 KAN'T CALL IT went all the way in her first try on the turf, and while a bounce is always possible with that win off a hibernation, we'd be silly to leave out, given the connections. OFF TURF:2-4-6-8-10

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 41-148 ( $297 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-5 ( 40% ) Favorite's Win %: 59-148 ( 39.9% )

Saratoga Spring ( Final ): 7-47 ( $31.20 ) Beatable Favorites: N/A Favorite's Win %: 19-47 ( 40.4% )

Aqueduct Spring( Final ): 28-136 ( $278.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 1-10 ( 10% ) Favorite's Win %: 57-136 ( 41.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7684-20491( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4195-20955 ( $35,442.60 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7827-21077( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.4% against a 16.7% takeout

6/16 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 7 - #3 Reserve Currency Race 9 - Reeves Entry

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (5)Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

Race 11st -I'm Buzzy2nd -She's Awesome3rd -Icy Reply

#2 I'M BUZZY is an extremely consistent gal, as this brown mare has amassed four wins and three showings over her last septet. 5 year old positively adores it here, and you can feel free to upgrade the most recent, as she's historically a bit better over a glib surface. Positive jockey change in play as well. #6 SHE'S AWESOME shoots for the grand salami today, and despite the mandatory hike in class after the recent purchase, we would say it's well within reach giving her perfect mark at today's distance of ground. #5 ICY REPLY has proven to be an excellent claim by Jimmy Ferraro, as this lady has earned a bunch of checks since the purchase 15 months ago. Solid win last time out, and can fare well once again with a slight drop in class.

Race 21st -Gun Maestro2nd -Candy Tycoon3rd -Holdtheflight

#6 GUN MAESTRO went coast to coast like butter and toast in his last pair, and although he faces open platers for the first time this afternoon, it's basically a similar class level; given his nice mark at today's trip, the hat trick is very doable. #7 CANDY TYCOON drops a tad after an honest placing 22 days in the rear, but we're not digging 2-1 here so we'll leave him beneath. #4 HOLDTHEFLIGHT has been kept in prison since the May 2nd purchase, & is halved in price for today's comebacker. Connections need a win to show a profit should another claim ensue, but it would behoove you to take a gander at this one during the warmups.

Race 31st -Freesdale2nd -Bustin Away3rd -The Big Torpedo

#4 FREESDALE has been freshened up a bit since splitting the field in a state bred stakes event back in April, and that heat has proven to be a key one, as three or four comebackers found their way into the winner's circle afterwards. There was an average Beyer improvement of 11.5 points per, and as this one is just as decently bred for the green as the brown, we're going to hope he can get back to that debut. #5 BUSTIN AWAY has been perfect in three starts to date, and has improved in the speed figure department along the way as well. 8-1 seems extremely generous here given the paucity of proven turf sprinters signed on, and this one has nice bloodlines for such. #1 THE BIG TORPEDO has completed the exacta in both sod starts, and cuts back from two turns to one this afternoon. OFF TURF: 8-7-2-3-1

Race 41st -Focus Pocus2nd -Granadilla3rd -Welcome Back Babe

These three and no more for all your rolling action. #3 FOCUS POCUS has the eye cups removed for the first time in today's third start off the L/O, and as she's yet to miss the money, seems to be a sensible selection -- especially with the addition of Flavor Flav in the irons. #4 GRANADILLA is another one in a third of the bench spot, and being she's closed out the exacta in her last duet, who are we to rock that boat? Should be no worse than third for those who like to grind out of show profit. #5 WELCOME BACK BABE has yet to finish in the first half of the pack, but may perk up in today's second start off the bench while having blinkers affixed for the first time. Recognize that the jockey trainer combination fare better together than apart.

Race 51st -La Salvadorena2nd -Coif3rd -Dancing Dean

#1 LA SALVADORENA down the lane. #9 COIF played the fade first time out, but given the connections you'd have to think this one is eligible to improve today. #8 DANCING DEAN has been beset by back to back L/O lines to begin her career, showed a flash of ability when trying the turf for the first time back in the fall, and is an obvious factor if fully cranked up OFF TURF: 4-2-6-5-1

Race 61st -Beauys ( Ire )2nd -Mondego3rd -Dripping Gold

We don't have the best of reads on this deal, so tread lightly. #7 BEAUYS (IRE) was an even fourth place finisher down in Louisville at the end of May, and now returns to the locale of one of his finest efforts, as he was a lively and dead game running up finisher right here earlier that month. Irad sees fit to hop on, and he guided this one to a placing down in Hallandale Beach a couple of New Year's days ago. Mild choice. #2 MONDEGO returned off of 7 month break in the action to burn a bit of bread in finishing third in this exact spot on the 2nd of May but could step it up today with that under his girthstrap. #8 DRIPPING GOLD is one of two in second off the shelf spots, and could show some improvement this afternoon if able to get some clearance. OFF TURF: 3-1-4-10(MTO)-5

Race 71st -Harvard2nd -Pineapple Man3rd -Mr. Swagger

A couple of solid DRF Formulator statistics in play here, so let's get to them directly. #7 HARVARD has been kept in prison since the purchase 33 days back, and now returns at a dime less. That being said, Atras has won with half of his 16 locally based mid level sand starters who were bought 23 to 47 days in the past, and are ridden by today's jockey. The ROI for that survey was $2.87, and we like the value being offered here. #8 PINEAPPLE MAN is another one on the drop down, but both of his wins came right here, and barn is 6 of 12 with Aqueduct based dirt entrants at this level who crashed the fiesta 27 to 50 days back. The return on the investment for that study was more than $3.50, and you can upgrade the last speed figure given the fact that he's better on a fast track than one with moisture in it. #5 MR. SWAGGER ( dig it ) is up for grabs for the first time today, and lost by only a neck the only time he cut back from two turns to one. BEATABLE FAVORITE: #3 RESERVE CURRENCY

Race 81st -Ascension2nd -Street View3rd -Beets

#3 ASCENSION gets her working papers this afternoon, and aside from the decent worktab, is a half to a runner who owns a win and a placing from as many starts on the synthetic, which we feel translates well to the turf. Price play at double digit odds. #1 STREET VIEW has a few decent running lines on the resume', and outran her odds quite nicely when placing at 14 to 1 the only time she was first to load. #8 BEETS stretches out after a runnerup finish right out of the box, and could appreciate the added ground. OFF TURF: 6-2-12(MTO)-1-9

Race 91st -Samburu ( GB )2nd -Operation Torch3rd -Scramble

#9 SAMBURU (GB) is but 1 of 14 since arriving in the States, but the recent troika of speed figures is honest enough, and after the troubled onset in the most recent, w find it encouraging to see Ortiz hop on at 8-1. #3 OPERATION TORCH has never missed a superfecta finish, and has a win and a showing from as many heats at this dx.. #8 SCRAMBLE picked up the lion's share the only time he was in a true second off the bench deal, and we have no problem including in this wide open nightcap. BEATABLE FAVORITE: REEVES ENTRY OFF TURF: 8-1-5-3-13(MTO)

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 41-148 ( $297 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-5 ( 40% ) Favorite's Win %: 59-148 ( 39.9% )

Saratoga Spring ( Final ): 7-47 ( $31.20 ) Beatable Favorites: N/A Favorite's Win %: 19-47 ( 40.4% )

Aqueduct Spring( Final ): 28-136 ( $278.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 1-10 ( 10% ) Favorite's Win %: 57-136 ( 41.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7684-20491( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4195-20955 ( $35,442.60 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7827-21077( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.4% against a 16.7% takeout

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (6)

As a character on Esquire's reality show "Horseplayers" and throughout the National Handicappers Tour where ranked third nationally in 2013, Kevin is known as a "numbers cruncher". He combines his own interpretation of standard Beyer speed figures, with a desire for seeking hidden form and generous odds in his selections. From April 29th, 2016 to March 31st, 2017 over a span of 1,920 consecutive races Kevin amazingly showed a flat bet profit!Kevin's daily analysis has shown a positive ROI for seventeen meets!

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (2024)

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